Morning Report – Mel Watt speaks at Brookings 5/14/14

Vital Statistics:

 

  Last Change Percent
S&P Futures  1890.7 -3.6 -0.19%
Eurostoxx Index 3203.4 -8.4 -0.26%
Oil (WTI) 102 0.3 0.30%
LIBOR 0.225 0.002 0.67%
US Dollar Index (DXY) 80.02 -0.119 -0.15%
10 Year Govt Bond Yield 2.57% -0.03%  
Current Coupon Ginnie Mae TBA 106.4 0.0  
Current Coupon Fannie Mae TBA 105.2 0.1  
BankRate 30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage 4.36    

 

Stocks are lower this morning on no real news. Bonds are up and the 10 year yield is back at the bottom of its range. LOs, if you have customers that were waiting for better rates, wake them up and tell them that if the range holds, today is about as good as it is going to get.
 

 
Mel Watt spoke at Brookings yesterday and the left has to be unhappy because they didn’t get the big things they wanted – principal mods on Fannie / Freddie loans nor did they get an extension of HARP eligibility dates. The highlights were (in no particular order):
  • No principal mods on Fan / Fred loans
  • Housing finance reform is a Congressional responsibility, not a FHFA one
  • No extension to HARP eligibility dates
  • Will provide some reps and warranties relief – 2 DQs in 36 months ok
  • Not lowering conforming loan limits
  • Will try and find a “cure” option for buybacks
  • Some sort of new neighborhood stabilization pilot program, details unclear
  • FHFA is worried about tight credit overlays
  • New securitization platform, will allow private label
  • Expect to see FNMA / Gold spread narrow as they will fall under one security
  • Will continue to shrink Fannie and Fred’s balance sheet to $250B each by 2018
Punch line: For all the sturm and drang, Mel Watt isn’t dramatically different than Ed DeMarco. The left has to be seething.
 
Mortgage Applications rose 3.6% last week. Purchases fell .1% while refis rose 6.8%. Refis are back up over 50% of the volume. Mortgage rates fell 4 bps last week.
 
Inflation picked up a little at the wholesale level, increasing from .5% to .6%, although ex food and energy it was down a little. Not enough to move the markets as inflation is still below the Fed’s target. 
 
FHA is trying to increase access to credit, and they are launching a new program which will offer a 50 basis point reduction in up-front mortgage insurance premium and a 10 basis point reduction in the annual premium for first-time homebuyers who complete the program.  

17 Responses

  1. Like

  2. Ouch, NoVA!

    You forgot to claim your Frist, btw, here you go. . .

    Like

  3. Rangers..

    Like

  4. Hockey, you’ll never find a more wretched hive of scum and white privilege!

    Like

  5. I just realized that this is the first state I’ve ever lived in that doesn’t have a hockey team. Maybe I’ll have to adopt the Caps.

    Like

  6. the Caps are a mess.

    Like

  7. “I just realized that this is the first state I’ve ever lived in that doesn’t have a hockey team. Maybe I’ll have to adopt the Caps.”

    How you cannot be a Red Wings fan is beyond me….

    Like

  8. Brent: the Red Wings are a given. But locally. . . then who do you suggest, NoVA?

    I am (and I admit it) a professional hockey dilettante–I’ve always found college and international hockey much more fun to watch than the NHL.

    Like

  9. I think sports fandom is hereditary. i’m a Pittsburgh fan like my father before me. you can’t choose your teams. they are part of your family history.

    Like

  10. Ah, yes, I’d temporarily forgotten that.

    Being a geneticist, I however know that it is possible to manipulate DNA (and that mutations are fairly frequent).

    Like

  11. ha. instead of choosing eye color or sexuality, you could guarantee a yinzer is born.

    Like

  12. Heh.

    Like

  13. you could guarantee a yinzer is born.

    It might take me a few false starts, but yep! Couldn’t guarantee the accent, though, that would be up to you.

    Like

  14. “t might take me a few false starts”

    Doc: I’m so sorry, your son is a Browns fan.
    NoVa: NOOOO!

    Like

  15. (I had actually been thinking Bruins, but yeah)

    Like

  16. Best site I’ve seen in a long time for comparing and contrasting trends; I give you Spurious Correlations!

    Like

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