Vital Statistics:
Last | Change | |
S&P futures | 4,637 | -30.2 |
Oil (WTI) | 78.65 | -0.23 |
10 year government bond yield | 1.81% | |
30 year fixed rate mortgage | 3.57% |
Stocks are lower this morning as investors fret about rising rates. Bonds and MBS are down.
The upcoming week will be dominated by inflation data, with the Consumer Price Index on Wednesday and the Producer Price Index on Thursday. The street is looking for 0.4% MOM / 7.1% YOY for the headline CPI and 0.5% MOM and 5.4% for the CPI ex-food and energy.
Goldman is out with a call this morning calling for 4 rate hikes in 2022. The Fed Funds futures agree. “Declining labor market slack has made Fed officials more sensitive to upside inflation risks and less sensitive to downside growth risks,” Hatzius wrote. “We continue to see hikes in March, June, and September, and have now added a hike in December for a total of four in 2022.”
The central tendency is now for 4 rate hikes, although it is more or less a toss-up between 3 and 4.

Goldman also sees the central bank beginning the process of shrinking its balance sheet in July. It will probably do this by only reinvesting a portion of maturing assets back into the market. In other words, if $1 billion of MBS and Treasuries mature in a particular month, the Fed might buy $500 million and let the other $500 million “retire.”
Filed under: Economy |
Then what does the mandate accomplish?
LikeLike
Something Must Be Done
This Is Something.
LikeLike
It’s obvious the D’s are trying to ratchet down the hysteria in advance of November. The Progs are very upset about this however. It’s an interesting tension. That and Biden/D’s being beholden to teacher’s unions
LikeLike
“Then what does the mandate accomplish?”
Actual answer would be to reduce the death and hospitalization levels.
LikeLike
Well, being a year too late to actually do anything … not much.
LikeLike
Nuke this racist hellhole!
LikeLike
I guess they won’t be satisfied until the squeegee guys come back
LikeLike
What’s going to be interesting is the finger pointing between Adams, the Police Commissioner and the new Manhattan DA.
LikeLike
GOAT.
LikeLike
I have to agree, even though I’m not a fan.
LikeLike