Stocks are lower after the jobs report came in as expected, which puts the Fed on track for their first tightening in 9 years in a couple of weeks. Bonds and MBS are up small.
Jobs report data dump:
- Nonfarm payrolls + 211k vs. 200k expected
- Unemployment rate 5%, in line with expectations
- Average Hourly Earnings +0.2% MOM / +2.3% YOY in line
- Underemployment rate 9.9% vs 9.7% expectations
- Labor Force Participation rate 62.5% vs. 62.4% expected
The general take on the jobs report is that it is good enough to give the Fed comfort to raise rates in two weeks. Digging in deeper, the increase in jobs were in construction (+46k), professional services (+28k), health care (+24k), restaurants (+23k) and retail (+31k). Mining and IT lost jobs.
Homebuilder Hovnanian reported numbers this morning, Revenues were flat compared to last year, while margins fell as deliveries fell 2% in units. The dollar value of net contracts increased 29%, which bodes well for next year. Backlog is up 30%.
Uber is now valued at $65 billion, which makes it about the 80th biggest company in the S&P 500, and gives it about the same market cap as Danaher. The bubble of the day is in these pre-IPO companies. By the time they actually go public, they are typically overvalued.
Negative equity fell from 16.9% a year ago to 13.4% last quarter, according to Zillow. A normal number is closer to 5%. They have a cool interactive map where you can search by county to see what percentage is underwater.
We are beginning to see some softness at the super-high end of the US residential real estate market. Some of this is undoubtedly driven by foreign demand.
Filed under: Morning Report |