Gingrich will be on Virginia’s primary ballot. Bachmann, Santorum, and Huntsman will not. Although is very difficult to secure a place on the Virginia ballot, it is, arguably, very difficult to consider someone who does not a serious candidate. Unless Bachmann, Santorum, or Huntsman enjoys an incredible run in the early states, it seems likely that they are effectively
out of the running.
As more information becomes available, a clearer picture of the relative strengths and weaknesses of the Gingrich campaign should emerge. If volunteers were principally responsible for securing his place on the ballot, then that would seem to speak to some real, dedicated support and resources he could draw on in both the primary and the general election. If paid operatives deserve the bulk of the credit, then doubts that Gingrich will have the money and organization required to garner the Republican nomination will presumably, and understandably, grow.
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Very telling, Nathaniel.
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Problems coming though for Gingrich, only 11,000 signatures. Not a lot of room for error.
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Mark,Indeed.Also very curious about who will actually turn out to caucus in Iowa and who will have the vans to transport people to the caucuses.
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Happy Holidays to all! You have been having some intriguing and informative discussions, interesting read. (That's a compliment to all.) Thanks.nathaniel, you think it will come down to available vans? That would seem to me to be a contest too close to be of any import in the overall scheme of things.
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okiegirl,amateurs study strategy, veterans study logistics.
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And you put yourself in which group, ns?
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Word up here is Gingrich has no IA organization; Paul's crew may be best organized. A key evangelical in IA just endorsed Romney, which basically means bachmann is done.
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Bachmann info from last item here: http://www.minnpost.com/dailyglean/2011/12/22/34016/amy_kochs_chief_of_staff_blew_the_whistle_on_her
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Whoops. Gingrich, not Romney. Pesky memory.
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okiegirl,amateurs actually. Probably better to say amateurs study strategy, professionals study logistics.I'm certainly not a professional and I'm guilty, far too often, of ignoring logistics.We'll see what happens in Iowa. I suspect Paul and Romney will be the ones with the machinery in place actually to make sure they have supporters at caucuses.
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bsimon,so the word is that Romney has no organization in Iowa? That would be interesting. Maybe the campaign is looking ahead to Florida.
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bsimon,am I right in remembering the Huckabee came in and won Iowa last time?
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Huck won IA, 2008.
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am I right in remembering the Huckabee came in and won Iowa last time?Yep. Largely attributed to the evangelical voters. Not that it did him much good in the grand scheme of things. . .
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" so the word is that Romney has no organization in Iowa? That would be interesting. Maybe the campaign is looking ahead to Florida."Sorry for the confusion. Gingrich has no IA organization, but appears to have secured a critical evangelical endorsement. Romney has an organization, but has been largely absent from IA.
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"am I right in remembering the Huckabee came in and won Iowa last time?Yep. Largely attributed to the evangelical voters. Not that it did him much good in the grand scheme of things. . . "He got a good TV gig out of it and a nice new house in Florida. That's a pretty decent consolation prize.
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He got a good TV gig out of it and a nice new house in Florida. That's a pretty decent consolation prize.True dat. But he still can't preempt prime-time television to talk to the nation and he has to mow his own yard (or pay someone to do it). 🙂
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Gingrich up until very recently was running a glorified book tour and not a campaign, much like Cain. It is little wonder he has no ground support in important early states.
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