Vital Statistics:
Last | Change | |
S&P Futures | 2554.8 | 2.0 |
Eurostoxx Index | 391.7 | 0.3 |
Oil (WTI) | 52.3 | 0.8 |
US dollar index | 86.4 | 0.1 |
10 Year Govt Bond Yield | 2.90% | |
Current Coupon Fannie Mae TBA | 102.875 | |
Current Coupon Ginnie Mae TBA | 103.938 | |
30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage | 3.86 |
Stocks are higher this morning on no real news. Bonds and MBS are down small.
Janet Yellen discussed the strong economy on Sunday, and again hinted that we will see another rate hike in December. The hurricanes will probably depress growth slightly, but the economy should rebound by year’s end. The consumer is still pretty strong, according to Friday’s retail sales report. Persistently slow inflation has been a surprise, however.
Manufacturing was strong in the NY area according to the Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The index came in at 30, which is the highest reading in 3 years. An increase in shipments and hiring drove the increase, which is one data point that shows the increase in sentiment indicators is actually translating into more business.
Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren thinks we might see 3-4 rate hikes in 2018. This assumes that employment continues to rise and inflation begins to pick up. Friday’s consumer price index report was weak, however with core inflation rising 0.1% MOM and 1.7% YOY, below the Fed’s 2% inflation target.
This week is the 30 year anniversary of the Crash of 87, and given the run up in the market, people are looking for another one. A lot will depend on earnings season, which is just starting. Given that the market is now dominated by high frequency traders that basically turn off their machines once volatility spikes you could see selling into a vacuum. Cheap commissions and sub-penny bid/ask spreads have pretty much eliminated the market-makers and the NYSE specialist from the game.
Average home sizes are falling in the US after rising for pretty much 3 decades. The average square footage decreased to 2420 square feet from the record of 2520 set in 2015. The Baby Boomer McMansion trend has run its course and builders are beginning to focus on starter homes in order to attract the Millennials.
Filed under: Economy, Federal Reserve, Morning Report |
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Have these people not watched the Handmaid’s Tale?
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Scorched earth on Gloria Alred’s daughter
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4982694/Rose-McGowan-says-Lisa-Bloom-offered-money.html
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But of course she did.
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Heckuva job, Obama.
He’s pleading guilty without a sentencing agreement.
I remember when I was told the chances of Bergdahl being courtmartialed as being “slim to none.”
https://www.yahoo.com/news/bergdahl-expected-plead-guilty-desertion-case-monday-074707026.html
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This was nutty:
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That’s. . . insane.
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Did I suggest that? I may have thought that at one time. I don’t recall if I shared the thought with anyone but my next door neighbor. It always depended on the facts, of course, but I remember when the facts looked better for Bergdahl, early on.
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No, it was not you.
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#16.
View at Medium.com
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=IwZyO2XHS50&feature=youtu.be
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F-ing hilarious that the number one thing men can do to support women is to pretend that some men are women.
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I added an AWESOME video to it.
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McWing:
I added an AWESOME video to it.
Will watch later…assume it is NSFW.
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I don’t think there is swearing in it.
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Great video.
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This seems pretty fair and accurate to me.
I mean, they kind of say it like it’s a bad thing. But different perspectives and all that. Eat, fart, burp and snore . . . that’s pretty much my skill set.
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But if I pay for porn my wife will find out…
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No need to pay!
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McWing:
#16
What are the chances this article gets me a pass if my wife catches me?
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If woke tranny porn gets you off, more power to ya!
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Jeez. Not even women can agree on what men need to do to “support” women.
http://thefederalist.com/2017/10/18/25-things-men-can-support-women-without-becoming-women/
Although these certainly make a lot more intuitive sense to me than buying Asian lesbian porn. (Asians count as “people of color”, don’t they?)
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Do I have to pay for porn?
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By “support” i don’t suppose they mean “hold a steady job and be responsible for your actions.”
Receptionist: How do you write women so well?
Melvin Udall: I think of a man, and I take away reason and accountability.
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nova:
Receptionist: How do you write women so well?
Melvin Udall: I think of a man, and I take away reason and accountability.
One of the greatest lines in all of moviedom. Laughed my ass off.
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The Federalists ones seem more actionable:
“Grill up a slab-o-meat and serve it to your wife or girlfriend with a glass of wine every so often.”
But I’m not sure if they actually address the core issue vis-a-vis Weinstein and other workplace issues. But of course neither did the original list, other than the perfunctory “don’t harass women” statement before the author got into her wish list.
It is ironic how Pence was pilloried for his stance on this issue, but his approach is the only way to remove any possible questions or suspicions. People who make the argument that he shouldn’t have to worry if he’s not an actual harasser miss the point. He’s a political target and he knows that “Caesar’s wife must be above reproach” especially when it comes to being a conservative religious Republican and the charge of hypocrisy.
Given what the NYT did to McCain in 2008, he’s being smart as a politician. It’s not about the women he works with, it’s about him having an affirmative defense to preempt any accusations, merited or otherwise.
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I’m still wondering why I should treat a broad co-worker any different than I treat a dude-coworker? Why are two standards necessary?
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McWing:
Why are two standards necessary?
As per feminism, there should never, ever be two standards, except in those circumstances when there should be. And they will advise you of what those circumstances are as and when they arise.
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