Morning Report: New home sales rise

ital Statistics:

Stocks are up this morning on no real news. Bonds and MBS are down.

The markets close early today in observance of Christmas Eve. Should be a quiet day.

New home sales rose 5.9% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 664,000 in November. This was up 8.7% compared to a year ago. The median sales price of new houses sold in November 2024 was $402,600. The average sales price was $484,800. The median price fell 6.3%, while the average price was down about 80 basis points.

Consumer confidence pulled back in December, according to the Conference Board. “The recent rebound in consumer confidence was not sustained in December as the Index dropped back to the middle of the range that has prevailed over the past two years,” said Dana M. Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board. “While weaker consumer assessments of the present situation and expectations contributed to the decline, the expectations component saw the sharpest drop. Consumer views of current labor market conditions continued to improve, consistent with recent jobs and unemployment data, but their assessment of business conditions weakened. Compared to last month, consumers in December were substantially less optimistic about future business conditions and incomes. Moreover, pessimism about future employment prospects returned after cautious optimism prevailed in October and November.”

The CPFB is accusing Rocket Mortgage of illegal kickbacks. “Rocket engaged in a kickback scheme that discouraged home-buyers from comparison shopping and getting the best deal,” CFPB Director Rohit Chopra said in a statement. “At a time when homeownership feels out of reach for so many, companies should not illegally block competition in ways that drive up the cost of housing.”

Rocket responded by saying that one-third of the borrowers with an application in progress chose to go to a different lender: “The facts are clear – data shows one-third of consumers with a loan application already in progress with Rocket Mortgage, before contacting Rocket Homes, chose to close with a different lender,” the company said in a statement. “This proves Rocket Homes is committed to empowering home-buyers to make the best decisions for their unique needs.”

42 Responses

  1. The End of Woke Hollywood?

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    • I’m skeptical. This social engineering shit is in their DNA. I don’t think they can pivot.

      Small sample size, but my son watches Japanese stuff, while my wife watches whatever Netflix is pushing out.

      I watch YouTube videos of a guy fixing a bulldozer.

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  2. The end of Woke Hollywood?

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    • I read that after Taibbi linked to it. It’s interesting but I’m not sure I buy the whole Obama as an evil mastermind behind all of it.

      Among other things during his administration he pushed back against the “professional left” many times especially during the healthcare and budget fights.

      My own take is Obama’s administration may have built the social media messaging apparatus for their own use, but it spiraled out of control during the first Trump term and then Biden’s. In Biden’s case, he was too incapacitated to manage it and it effectively started running itself with the activists working on their own behalf.

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  3. This is how you properly rob a Walgreens.

    Of course, what you’re able to carry out with you is limited.

    you can’t compromise on proper form.

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  4. The most self-unaware people on the planet.

    https://www.publicnotice.co/p/ryan-cooper-interview-democratic-messaging

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    • Astounding. I hear righties that seem unaware of how they sound, but never like this.

      “and a mainstream press that normalizes their lies and sanewashes their extremism”

      Sanewashes? Really? No sense of how insular and cultish in their language they sound.

      As a tangent, every intellectual, talky podcast I find on YouTube that deeply engages intellectual subjects eventually reveals the people involved to be almost entirely right-of-center or dismissive of right and left entirely. There is almost no intellectual rigor left-of-center.

      Then the author argues they need to put LESS effort reaching out to general audiences and underwrite insular bubble-media propaganda sites like ThinkProgress. Which would not reach or persuade a single human being, not one, who isn’t already going to vote left. So I full support them spending all their money this way.

      It’s almost certainly an effort to grift; get more money for people like them and thus pay their salaries. I can’t believe they truly think more money for low-audience web sites and podcasts that only speak to people who only vote left is going to do anything to win elections

      “and the importance of Dems building online presences on non-X social media platforms like Bluesky”

      Again, arguing they need to focus on speaking exclusively to audiences who already agree with them about everything. It’s insane.

      They seem to forget Rush Limbaugh on Fox News tapped a completely unserved audience. They spoke to the people everyone else was ignoring. While they are arguing they need to ignore the already ignored people more.

      “If you actually want to get your message out there, Bluesky”

      This is self-evidently wrong. If you want to get your message out, focus exclusively on only the people who already agree with you 100%, is delusional.

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    • They’ve learned nothing.

      This NYT focus group observation still sums up the 2024 election best:

      I shocked myself and voted for Trump. No one tell my family. I was so impressed by JD Vance, the way he carried himself and how normal he appeared. I think I became radicalized on the men and women’s sports issue. The ad that said, “Kamala represents they/them. Trump represents you,” that was so compelling. While Trump is deranged, he represented normalcy somehow to me.

      https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/13/opinion/focusgroup-young-undecided-voters.html

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  5. I truly did not know this about Milton Friedman.

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  6. What is we make of the Elon/Vivek vs MAGA war over H1-B visas? I’m sympathetic to a non-Tiger Mom upbringing.

    Maybe restrict labor importation to keep wages down? Controlling government and restricting immigration depends, apparently, on whose Ox is being gored.

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    • The only people I see talking about it are leftists.

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    • Really good piece on this:

      About H-1B Visas

      on the open borders for the middle class

      Holly MathNerd

      Dec 27, 2024

      https://hollymathnerd.substack.com/p/about-h-1b-visas

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    • Another good piece on it:

      The Internal Republican Fight Over Immigration Isn’t Really About Racism

      Trump must resolve the intra-party conflict over migration to maintain his cross-class coalition

      Alex Gutentag and Michael Shellenberger

      Dec 30, 2024

      https://www.public.news/p/the-internal-republican-fight-over

      Nationalism, and in particular the protection of American jobs from foreign competition, has been central to Trump’s appeal and to his transformation of the Republican Party since 2016. Americans elected Trump to protect them from the effects of mass migration, in large measure for economic reasons, out of recognition that open border policies drive down working-class wages. It’s true that immigrants have always played a large role in shaping American culture and driving innovation. At the same time, many citizens have reasonable concerns about the economic effects of globalization on both the working and middle classes. The foreign-born share of the American population is at its highest level in over a century, and MAGA voters have repeatedly shown that they will not fall in line with the views of the party’s business leaders for the simple reason that they view mass migration as an existential threat to America’s future.

      Republican business leaders correctly note that waves of immigration, both low- and high-skilled, have contributed immensely to America’s economic success over two and a half centuries. CEOs and investors are right to value uniquely talented individuals and want them to become part of America’s “team.”

      The problem is that the H-1B system can be abused as a tool to directly replace American workers with foreign workers who accept lower pay and cannot bargain for workforce rights. H-1B is a form of reverse outsourcing: instead of sending jobs abroad, employers can simply replace American workers at home.

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      • Trump endorsing HB1’s is another idication that he does better when he lets the base determine the direction and then leads. When he stakes out a position and attempts to lead ahead of the base he usually falters.

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        • In this case, I think he was defending something he had direct personal experience with in his businesses.

          He’s also not very good when he’s being defensive about something.

          But better for this stuff to get hashed out now before he takes office.

          It would be amusing if Bannon were part of the administration and see the shouting match between him and Musk.

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        • The thing is I’m pretty certain he uses HB2, not 1.

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  7. They actually believe their own propaganda.

    “On the South side of Chicago, the Obama Presidential Center continues to rise as a symbol of hope and community,” Michelle narcissistically proclaims.

    https://redstate.com/rusty-weiss/2024/12/28/michelle-obama-ripped-for-new-years-message-saying-americans-are-anxious-as-trumps-return-nears-n2183680

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    • Yes, abortion-rights ballot measures passed in seven more states and won majority support in Florida

      Pro-choice ballot initiatives are winning all over. Even the abortion-for-any-reason-up-til-birth ballot initiative got over 50% in Florida. If they try something slightly less aggressive, it will pass. Abortion is winning in the wake of the overturn of Roe and the left doesn’t care, they basically are acting like abortion for all reasons is outlawed everywhere. Not getting that.

      Also it seems pretty obvious pro-choicers who just accept abortion is a state issue now are making plenty of progress. Even some purplish states have laws more liberal than Europe. Not quite getting what their complaint is, or why they aren’t more pleased, Trump’s victory aside.

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      • And judging by a lot of focus group participants at the NYT, a majority of people agree with Trump’s argument about leaving it up to the states instead of having one federal law on it.

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  8. No way this survives the courts.

    Plus, it’s bullshit. What an adult chooses to do is on the adult, not the state. Don’t make me pay for them is all any rational person wants.

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  9. I wish I could vote for him twice!

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  10. Interesting read on Trump’s appointee for the Civil Rights Division of the Justice Department:

    The Fast Death of DEIThe study NYT and Bloomberg don’t want you to see

    David Josef Volodzko

    Dec 30, 2024

    ∙ Paid

    The DEI movement is dying — and fast. President-elect Trump has tapped lawyer Harmeet Dhillon to head the Justice Department’s Civil Rights Division as an assistant attorney general, and to use the formidable powers of her new station to wage war on DEI and fulfill the mission of the office, which was created in 1957 to enforce federal statutes prohibiting discrimination on the basis of race, sex, religion, or other immutable characteristics. In other words, DEI’s bread and butter.

    https://www.theradicalist.com/p/the-fast-death-of-dei

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