As the Supreme Court’s ruling on the constitutionality of Obamacare approaches, the NYT today has an article about how many supporters of ACA were slow to realize the dangers of a constitutional challenge.
It was to be expected that Obama would express public confidence in the constitutionality of the law, and of course we all remember Nancy Pelosi’s now potentially embarrassing dismissal – “Are you serious?” – of a reporter who dared to question her on the constitutional legitimacy of the law she had just passed. At the time I simply assumed that this was natural political bluster. But it seems that a great many Dems did indeed view the idea that forcing people to purchase a private, commercial product simply because they happen to exist might be beyond the legitimate power of the government to be beyond the pale.
“It led to some people taking it too lightly,” said a Congressional lawyer who like others involved in drafting the law declined to be identified before the ruling. “It shouldn’t strike anybody as a close call,” the lawyer added, but “given where we are now, do I wish we had focused even more on this? I guess I would say yes.”
How could they have been so wrong about this? It is one thing to be able to craft, out of Supreme Court precedent and a manipulation of language, a legitimate-sounding argument supporting the constitutionality of a power that had never been exercised before in the history of the US. But it is quite another to imagine that no reasonable counter argument could possibly exist or be forwarded. I don’t know which way the Supremes will ultimately vote on this, but it is clear now that it has been a reasonably close call, whichever way it goes.
How could experienced lawyers and constitutional scholars have thought – actually still think – that the constitutionality of a heretofore unexercised power which relies on the counterintuitive (some might even say perverse) definition of the absence of activity as the presence of activity, was an obvious and certain constitutional lock? Is it an example of widespread wishful thinking? The results of an academic liberal echo chamber? A mass delusion? I really don’t get it.
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