Tresspassers William did a great cover of “Rainbow Connection”:
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Tresspassers William did a great cover of “Rainbow Connection”:
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Story out of NYC where federal prosecutors have charged a man with jury tampering for handing out literature outside on jurors rights outside of a courthouse. The story explains that the defendant has requested a jury trial, but prosecutors have opposed it, arguing that we would likely ask the jury to nullify. Question for the lawyers … Can the prosecution do that? The defendant is claiming his actions are protected speech, which it obviously is in my opinion.
Story available at the New York Times
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Vital Statistics:
| Last | Change | Percent | |
| S&P Futures | 1223.2 | 26.7 | 2.23% |
| Eurostoxx Index | 2262.4 | 28.210 | 1.26% |
| Oil (WTI) | 100.9 | 1.110 | 1.11% |
| US Dollar Index (DXY) | 78.445 | -0.624 | -0.79% |
| 10 Year Govt Bond Yield | 2.03% | 0.03% |
Markets are gapping higher on coordinated Central Bank intervention in the money markets. The Federal Reserve, Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, and the ECB have lowered US dollar swap rates by 50 basis points. “The purpose of these actions is to ease strains in the financial markets and thereby mitigate the effects of such strains on the supply of credit to households and businesses and so help foster economic activity.” the statement said. Separately, the Bank of China lowered reserve requirements for its banks. In some ways, this reminds me of 2008, where the Fed of the government would step in to help ease conditions in the financial markets, short covering would cause the futures to gap up, and then futures would sell off as people contemplate how bad things must be to warrant the action in the first place.
In economic data, ADP Employment came in at 206k for November, well higher than estimates. Productivity was light, and unit labor costs fell more than expected. Yesterday, consumer confidence came in much higher than estimates, which shouldn’t have been a surprise if you have been watching the actual spending data. S&P / Case-Schiller came in -3.6% for September. Overall, the data indicate things are on the mend, albeit slowly.
In keeping with the energy story I have been flogging, the WSJ has an article this morning discussing how the US is about to become a net exporter of refined product. This doesn’t mean we are energy independent – we still import more oil than we export – but we are closer and closer to becoming a net energy exporter. And that will have enormous implications for the US, from our trade deficit to our Middle East policy. Perhaps the peace dividend we have been waiting for since the end of the cold war will finally materialize.
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